TOPIC OF THE DAY –
Towards A Ceasefire In J&K?
Finally, after four bleak years of unremitting conflict, a small ray of light appears to be struggling to get through in Jammu and Kashmir. Chief Minister Mehbooba Mufti’s proposal for a Ramzan ceasefire, backed by a State all-party delegation, has gained some traction in the policy community. Though we are yet to see how Prime Minister Narendra Modi responds, there is little doubt that a ceasefire would be hugely welcomed, most of all by the Jammuites of the border areas and the Kashmiris of the Valley, who have had little respite from violence since 2014.
Then and now
Yet there is a sting in the proposal. Ms. Mufti talked about a unilateral ceasefire as was declared by Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee in November 2000. In response, Chief of Army Staff General Bipin Rawat has asked who would then guarantee that the security forces would be defended from attack. The question is not idle. During the first three months of the 2000 ceasefire, casualties amongst security forces rose sharply, despite the fact that there was considerable public pressure on the separatists as well as Pakistan to reciprocate, including from the ‘azaadi’ constituency.
Gen. Rawat is right in anticipating that there will be continuing attacks on security forces under a unilateral ceasefire. Nevertheless, it is imperative to curtail the violence that people in Jammu and Kashmir suffer, and a ceasefire might provide the best opportunity to de-escalate. As the rising number of youth turning to arms attests, the last four years of counterinsurgency have not succeeded in ending insurgency. We could have learned this lesson from past experience too — the counterinsurgency of the 1990s did not end insurgency. But it did pave the way for a peace process and it was this peace process that made progress towards ending armed conflict until Pakistan’s then leader, Gen. Pervez Musharraf, put it on a back burner.
The 2000 ceasefire experience also showed that casualties among the security forces could have been minimised had more urgent attention been paid to tightening defence of security installations and personnel. The Vajpayee administration did not prepare for continuing attacks and the ceasefire created both resentment among the troops and an understandable but misplaced relaxation of alertness. Gen. Rawat and his corps commanders could work on plugging such lapses and the Modi administration could take rapid steps to improve working conditions for security forces, including shorter service periods in the Valley.
What impact will a unilateral ceasefire have on the ground? Clearly there will be immediate relief to the beleagueredresidents of the State. But the ceasefire can only provide an opportunity for other steps to be taken, such as India-Pakistan talks, dialogue with the Hurriyat and allied groups, and backchannel negotiations for a reciprocal ceasefire by armed groups. It is not clear whether such initiatives are already in the pipeline or whether the State government has presented a road map of how to get them going. What is clear is that taking these steps is far more difficult now than it was in 2000.
Mr. Vajpayee’s ceasefire took place at a time when there were active negotiations at a multitude of levels — India-Pakistan, Hizbul-Indian Army, Hurriyat-India-Pakistan, civil society and even business groups. He was able to set off the rise in casualties during the ceasefire against the political gains of a peace process, which eventually led to a sharp decrease in violence.
That context is gone today. There is little public pressure on the armed groups. The impetus for peace has been replaced by communal stand-offs, anger and hatred. More civilians, militants and security forces have died in the first five months of 2018 than in corresponding periods for the previous decade. The State is polarised, and society has become increasingly lumpen, as the death by stoning of a young Tamil tourist and the communal mobilisation around the rape and murder of a child in Kathua indicate. In the Valley, alienation from India is as high as it was in the early 1990s, when insurgency took root.
WORDS AND MEANINGS –
1) Unremitting
Meaning: Never relaxing or slackening; incessant.
Example: “Unremitting drizzle”
Synonyms: Relentless, Continual
Antonyms: Intermittent, Spasmodic
2) Ray
Meaning: Each of the lines in which light (and heat) may seem to stream from the sun or any luminous body, or pass through a small opening.
Example: “A ray of sunlight came through the window”
Synonyms: Beam, Shaft
3) Ceasefire
Meaning: A temporary suspension of fighting; a truce.
Example: “The latest ceasefire seems to be holding”
4) Delegation
Meaning: A body of delegates or representatives; a deputation.
Example: “A delegation of teachers”
Synonyms: Deputation, Delegacy
5) Respite
Meaning: A short period of rest or relief from something difficult or unpleasant.
Example: “The refugee encampments will provide some respite from the suffering”
Synonyms: Rest, Break
6) Defended
Meaning: Resist an attack made on (someone or something); protect from harm or danger.
Example: “We shall defend our island, whatever the cost”
Synonyms: Protect, Guard
Antonyms: Attack
7) Idle
Meaning: Without purpose or effect; pointless.
Example: “He did not want to waste valuable time in idle chatter”
Synonyms: Frivolous, Trivial
Antonyms: Serious, Meaningful
8) Casualties
Meaning: A person killed or injured in a war or accident.
Example: “The shelling caused thousands of civilian casualties”
Synonyms: Victim, Fatality
9) Reciprocate
Meaning: Respond to (a gesture or action) by making a corresponding one.
Example: “The favour was reciprocated”
10) Constituency
Meaning: A group of voters in a specified area who elect a representative to a legislative body.
Example: “Most politicians are more interested in the voice of their constituency”
11) Imperative
Meaning: Giving an authoritative command; peremptory.
Example: “The bell pealed again, a final imperative call”
Synonyms: Peremptory, Imperious
Antonyms: Submissive
12) Curtail
Meaning: Reduce in extent or quantity; impose a restriction on.
Example: “Civil liberties were further curtailed”
Synonyms: Reduce, Decrease
Antonyms: Increase, Lengthen
13) De-escalate
Meaning: Reduce the intensity of (a conflict or potentially violent situation).
Example: “They had training in how to de-escalate a situation”
14) Counterinsurgency
Meaning: Military or political action taken against the activities of guerrillas or revolutionaries.
Example: “A counter-insurgency force”
15) Pave the way
Meaning: If something paves the way for/to something else, it makes the other thing possible.
Example: “Scientists hope that data from the probe will pave the way for a more detailed exploration of Mars”
16) Resentment
Meaning: Bitter indignation at having been treated unfairly.
Example: “His resentment at being demoted”
Synonyms: Bitterness, Irritation
Antonyms: Contentment, Happiness
17) Lapses
Meaning: (Of a right, privilege, or agreement) become invalid because it is not used, claimed, or renewed; expire.
Example: “He let his membership of CND lapse”
Synonyms: Expire, Terminate
Antonyms: Current, Valid
18) Beleaguered
Meaning: Put in a very difficult situation.
Example: “The board is supporting the beleaguered director”
Synonyms: Hard-pressed, Troubled
19) Allied
Meaning: Joined by or relating to members of an alliance.
Example: “Allied territories”
Synonyms: Federal, Associated
Antonyms: Independent, Hostile
20) Backchannel
Meaning: A secondary or covert route for the passage of information.
Example: “We used him as a diplomatic backchannel”
21) Impetus
Meaning: The force or energy with which a body moves.
Example: “Hit the booster coil before the flywheel loses all its impetus”
Synonyms: Momentum, Propulsion
22) Hatred
Meaning: Intense dislike; hate.
Example: “Racial hatred”
Synonyms: Loathing, Hate
Antonyms: Love, Liking
23) Lumpen
Meaning: Boorish and stupid.
Example: “The growing ranks of lumpen, uninhibited, denim-clad youth”
24) Alienation
Meaning: The state or experience of being alienated.
Example: “A sense of alienation from our environment”
Synonyms: Isolation, Detachment
