Lines in the sand: On India and the Pax Silica alliance
The Pax Silica alliance holds benefits, but could also tie India down
Of course, there is no such thing as a free lunch. The implications for India include potential economic retaliation from China, such as trade friction, slower market access, or pressure on upstream inputs such as minerals and active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Pax Silica partnership’s focus on “trusted ecosystems” could also translate into rigid expectations regarding export controls and technology-transfer guardrails, which could clash with India’s preference for not locking itself into alliances but, instead, pursuing what External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar has called “issue-based alignments”. The government could open itself up to more criticism at home particularly if the U.S.-led bloc also begins to shape India’s domestic AI rules in ways that look externally driven. Smaller Indian firms attempting to join global value chains could also face significant financial burdens and longer timelines due to stricter security audit requirements. In the end, the success of Pax Silica will depend on whether its partners go beyond talks to build a real-world supply chain where raw minerals are mined, refined, turned into chips, and used to power AI systems, all among the pact’s members, creating a secure technology network that drives India’s economic growth while protecting the alliance from disruptions.